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The reason why the two Koreas will unite?

Link Copy 2024-10-27 16:10:58

Prediction

Kim Jong-un's daughter will not hold on to power

Reason

The unification of Korea is the political goal declared by the governments of the DPRK and the Republic of Korea. The unification will take place by military means. The war will begin soon after the DPRK's main allies - China and Russia - begin hostilities. The DPRK will have to choose. Now Russia, due to the mistakes of the leadership, is beginning to depend on China.

Kim Jong-un's daughter will not hold on to power

The main burden of unification will fall on South Korea. So far, this association is disadvantageous to the neighbors. Russia will not be happy about the emergence of a very unstable state with nuclear weapons next door. China is also in favor of maintaining the status quo and is willing to systematically invest serious sums of money in North Korea. China's main task is to prevent the unification of Korea, since this will create a number of difficulties and change the balance of power in the East.

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Will there be a third World War over Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2024-03-01 09:54:08

Prediction

No, it's just bullying.

Reason

Talking about World War III is just political leverage to demand money for Ukraine and drive it into debt. No one will fight for her. All the advantages are lost. The United States has problems: elections are coming, Texas, the Houthis and Israel. Russia has gained a foothold in Ukraine, and the element of surprise has been missed. The sanctions are hitting Europe itself. Discontent is growing. The EU population is being ripped off, and industry is being exported. The EU has barely agreed on an extension of assistance to Ukraine, and there is no chance of agreeing on the start of the deployment of troops.

No, it's just bullying.

In 2025, with Trump's victory, the EU will remain alone with Ukraine. And eventually it will fall apart, because few people will want to spend money on Ukraine sacrificing the economies of their countries.

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What will be the next president of Russia after Putin?

Link Copy 2023-09-28 09:49:18

Prediction

Politically weak

Reason

All talk about a successor is stopped, no one wants to even think about it. Preparations for the succession are not underway, which means that the new president will be chosen spontaneously and will protect the personal interests of the ruling elite, and not the whole country. The president from alternative parties will not be allowed to win.

Politically weak

Nothing will change in the country with the change of the president. The country will continue to sell energy resources abroad. The new president will make decisions based on personal gain, hiding behind the interests of the country.

References
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Will there be a full-scale war between India and Pakistan?

Link Copy 2025-05-08 11:05:59

Prediction

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

Reason

A similar previous conflict in 2016 ended in 20 months with an agreement to fully implement the 2003 ceasefire agreement and stop cross-border shelling.

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

The Kashmir conflict led to tensions between the two countries, which generally persist to this day.

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