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The reason why the two Koreas will unite?

Link Copy 2024-10-27 16:10:58

Prediction

Kim Jong-un's daughter will not hold on to power

Reason

The unification of Korea is the political goal declared by the governments of the DPRK and the Republic of Korea. The unification will take place by military means. The war will begin soon after the DPRK's main allies - China and Russia - begin hostilities. The DPRK will have to choose. Now Russia, due to the mistakes of the leadership, is beginning to depend on China.

Kim Jong-un's daughter will not hold on to power

The main burden of unification will fall on South Korea. So far, this association is disadvantageous to the neighbors. Russia will not be happy about the emergence of a very unstable state with nuclear weapons next door. China is also in favor of maintaining the status quo and is willing to systematically invest serious sums of money in North Korea. China's main task is to prevent the unification of Korea, since this will create a number of difficulties and change the balance of power in the East.

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What is Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine really?

Link Copy 2024-11-09 13:49:13

Prediction

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

Reason

Trump's advisers are considering a plan to end the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, which involves freezing the front line, creating a demilitarized zone and abandoning Ukraine's bid to join NATO for 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. Trump intends to put pressure on Ukraine and Russia in the form of an ultimatum. Two of Trump's military advisers have offered to force Ukraine into peace talks, threatening to cut off arms supplies. At the same time, they said that Russia's refusal to negotiate would lead to increased support for Ukraine from the United States. A plan to resolve the conflict will be presented after the inauguration on January 20. In the meantime, Trump is considering various options presented by his advisers.

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

The problem will not be solved, but postponed for 20 years in order to restore and arm Ukraine. Signing peace on such terms is unacceptable for Russia.

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What consequences are expected for the European Union after Apple was ordered to pay a fine of 13 billion?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 10:46:23

Prediction

No one will want to open a large business in the EU

Reason

The EU has no advantages over Asian countries. The 50% tax is too high, for example, in Singapore it is 0%. Russia's military conflict with Ukraine also makes it difficult to do business, as sanctions hit the EU itself, raising prices for all energy resources, which directly affects the prices of goods and services.

No one will want to open a large business in the EU

The essence of the claim is that all EU countries must take the same taxes at 50%, and if a country is an EU member, it cannot make tax preferences on its own. Most likely, countries will soon begin to leave the EU, as the United Kingdom did.

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Elon Musk wants to start producing his own phones, can he beat Apple and Google?

Link Copy 2025-04-11 06:05:27

Prediction

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

Reason

The United States has imposed protective tariffs on all countries. Apple and Google phones are not made in America, but in other countries. In the near future, their prices will skyrocket. Musk wants to establish production in the United States, making phones at competitive prices. But the main problem is that his reputation is ruined. And there are more and more competitors, and they are already putting pressure on his business, especially on the business of electric vehicles. And because of the trade war, goods and services from the United States will be less in demand. And this is already a trend.

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

The analytical divisions of UBS, Mizuho and Goldman Sachs revised downward the target levels of Tesla shares. Experts note that the slowdown in the global economy and the strengthening of trade barriers may continue to put pressure on Tesla quotes.

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