Who will win the presidential election in Belarus?

Alexander Lukashenko

There is no opposition as such, Europe cannot influence the elections, there are no global problems in the country, because of which one can be dissatisfied with the current president of the country.

No miracle will happen

Why are so many wars happening right now?

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

Will there be new protests in Kazakhstan in January?

No

There are no events that can cause the beginning of mass riots. There is no one to organize riots, because before the holding of out-of-ceremonial elections in November 2022, the Ministry of Internal Affairs detained persons involved in planning the organization of mass riots. Also, January 2023 will be much colder than January 2022 and there will be no large masses of walkers on the streets.

It is impossible to rule out the possibility of new protests, including large actions, but a repeat of the January events with the same degree of radicalism is unlikely in the near future.

Will there be new protests in Kazakhstan? Opinion of Russian experts

KNB special operation: Mass riots were planned on November 20 in Kazakhstan

Protests and the state of emergency in Kazakhstan. Main

Accuracy 30

What is the goal of the war with Iran?

They want Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the planet's key transport arteries, through which millions of barrels of oil and millions of tons of liquefied natural gas pass daily. Closing the strait, even for a short period, can lead to a surge in oil prices, fluctuations in global markets, and serious supply disruptions. If the strait is closed, Europe will be forced to buy gas from the U.S. as Russian gas is cut off for them. Pressure on Iran will increase Europe's dependence on the U.S. And in the U.S. itself, any laws can be passed in sync with Iran's attacks, as the media daily bombards the population with news about the war with Iran. At the same time, arms can be sold to Israel.

No one has imposed sanctions against the USA and Israel yet.