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Who will win the presidential election in Belarus?

Link Copy 2025-01-26 08:22:14

Prediction

Alexander Lukashenko

Reason

There is no opposition as such, Europe cannot influence the elections, there are no global problems in the country, because of which one can be dissatisfied with the current president of the country.

Alexander Lukashenko

No miracle will happen

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How can the country get rid of dollar dependence?

Link Copy 2025-02-03 09:41:08

Prediction

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

Reason

Abandoning the dollar is a whole range of measures. From tying your currency to something tangible, preferably something that your country owns more than other countries, to banning the purchase and sale of dollars. Why is it necessary to move away from the dollar? First of all. To reduce dependence on the United States. After Trump's arrival, pressure begins on all countries. Secondly. There is a danger that the dollar will depreciate due to the problems of the United States and the European Union, because the dollar is also pegged to European currencies and an avalanche effect is possible. The third. Trump is scaring tariffs, which will further increase the negative reaction.

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

China and Russia are trying to create an alternative currency pegged to the territory and rare earth metals, because they feel strong pressure from the United States. The other BRICS countries don't want to move away from the dollar because they don't feel the pressure.

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What will happen after a global Microsoft outage?

Link Copy 2024-07-19 14:01:11

Prediction

Microsoft shares will drop in price. It is likely that Microsoft will face lawsuits for damages. Some companies will switch to competitors' cloud services.

Reason

There are SLAs: a document that specifies the technical performance guarantees provided by the cloud service provider, the procedure for identifying and resolving disputes, as well as remedies for failures. In this case, these guarantees were violated.

Microsoft shares will drop in price. It is likely that Microsoft will face lawsuits for damages. Some companies will switch to competitors' cloud services.

Competitors will take advantage of this opportunity to lure affected companies to their cloud services. In addition, for some time, this will serve as negative publicity for Microsoft.

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What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

Link Copy 2023-04-28 12:35:05

Prediction

Bad personnel policy

Reason

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Bad personnel policy

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

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