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Who is being trained to replace Zelensky and what will happen if he is not replaced?

Link Copy 2025-04-28 13:01:40

Prediction

The kind of person with whom you can always negotiate. Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Anna Skorokhod, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko are being considered for replacement. Klitschko, by the way, has already stated that part of the territories will have to be given away.

Reason

It will be very difficult for Ukraine to return to the borders of 2014, it will have to cede territory in any peace agreement. To begin with, Ukraine will have to fulfill all Russia's demands: lay down arms, stop terror, imprison the Nazis, and approve a non-aligned status. Under Zelensky, this is impossible. If it is not replaced, then the war will drag on and the entire NATO bloc will inevitably be drawn into it. But there are already red lines of the United States, which does not want World War III.

The kind of person with whom you can always negotiate. Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Anna Skorokhod, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko are being considered for replacement. Klitschko, by the way, has already stated that part of the territories will have to be given away.

Now they will convince Zelensky and scare him that if he does not make concessions, then the territory will be completely captured by Russia, and if he gives up part of the territories and does not sign an agreement with the United States, then the remaining territory will be taken by the EU. If he does not make concessions within a reasonable time, the question of his replacement will be raised, up to murder.

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When will the war between the United States and Israel with Iran end?

Link Copy 2026-03-29 12:54:08

Prediction

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

Reason

The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

Trump will negotiate oil purchases from the United States at a meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 15, and there will be no talk of ending the war. Most likely, China will think and then refuse, citing the country's interests in the region, and Europe will also put pressure on Trump inside the country, so we will have to negotiate.

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What is Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine really?

Link Copy 2024-11-09 13:49:13

Prediction

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

Reason

Trump's advisers are considering a plan to end the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, which involves freezing the front line, creating a demilitarized zone and abandoning Ukraine's bid to join NATO for 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. Trump intends to put pressure on Ukraine and Russia in the form of an ultimatum. Two of Trump's military advisers have offered to force Ukraine into peace talks, threatening to cut off arms supplies. At the same time, they said that Russia's refusal to negotiate would lead to increased support for Ukraine from the United States. A plan to resolve the conflict will be presented after the inauguration on January 20. In the meantime, Trump is considering various options presented by his advisers.

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

The problem will not be solved, but postponed for 20 years in order to restore and arm Ukraine. Signing peace on such terms is unacceptable for Russia.

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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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