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What is the forecast of the economic situation in Europe?

Link Copy 2026-07-13 15:42:34

Prediction

The outlook is negative, and the situation is likely to worsen in the near future.

Reason

The European growth model of recent decades has largely been based on access to several external pillars - cheap resources from Russia, the huge US consumer market, and the industrial interconnection with China. Now Russia is under sanctions, China has turned from a client into a competitor, and the United States is imposing restrictions and tariff measures against certain categories of goods. This is the loss of 3 key sales markets at once. There is no way to fix this either with an injection of money or with new technologies.

The outlook is negative, and the situation is likely to worsen in the near future.

Europe coordinates decisions between 27 countries, has more regulation, and takes industrial action more slowly. The United States and China are acting faster. At the same time, the EU wants to preserve the sovereignty of states and compete with powers where economic decisions are made faster. Therefore, individual countries are expected to leave the EU. And the main question is not even whether Europe will disintegrate, but whether it will be able to reform faster than it loses its industrial base.

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Will artificial intelligence be able to reach the level of superintelligence in the near future?

Link Copy 2026-07-29 11:03:36

Prediction

No, there are no resources for that.

Reason

Research by experts points to serious bottlenecks in the development of neural networks, including physical and economic constraints such as the availability of advanced chips and enormous power consumption.

No, there are no resources for that.

AI advertising today is an interesting example of how marketing shapes expectations. Companies compete for attention and investment, so they often emphasize the most impressive use cases.

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Is Russia coping with sanctions?

Link Copy 2024-10-17 11:29:14

Prediction

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Reason

The crisis did not happen as the West expected, but not everything is as rosy as the Russian government claims. Despite all the efforts to replace imports, everything is imported by a third, no matter how hard they try to produce their own. And it is unlikely that this figure will reach half in the near future.

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Due to sanctions, Russia is forced to conclude unprofitable contracts for itself in the long term and increase its dependence on China. The impact of sanctions would have been more significant if not for the global recession.

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Why does the United States need uranium from Iran?

Link Copy 2026-06-26 16:00:31

Prediction

Highly enriched uranium is a very valuable resource, and its production requires a lot of labor.

Reason

The enrichment of uranium to weapons—grade is an incredibly time-consuming process, during which the concentration of uranium-235 gradually increases from 0.7% to 90%. It takes several years of hard work using centrifuges, complex devices that the United States does not have. There is a demand for enriched uranium in the United States, for example, Bill Gates wants to develop maintenance-free reactors. Iranian uranium is excellent for this purpose, because otherwise we would have to dismantle the warheads from the Pentagon.

Highly enriched uranium is a very valuable resource, and its production requires a lot of labor.

The main stumbling block in the recent negotiations between the United States and Iran was Tehran's right to enrich uranium on its own. The United States insists that Iran purchase nuclear materials for peaceful purposes abroad, but the Iranian side does not want to depend on other countries.

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