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Will additional sanctions be imposed against China because of Taiwan?

Link Copy 2022-06-01 14:45:42

Prediction

Yes, the US is ready to use all its sanctions tools against China if Beijing takes aggressive actions against Taiwan.

Reason

In the United States, the question is being discussed that China will in any case, in 10-15 years, go to the separation from the global financial system. Therefore, they are simply trying to be proactive and cause social instability in China

Yes, the US is ready to use all its sanctions tools against China if Beijing takes aggressive actions against Taiwan.

Chinese operation to retake Taiwan was allegedly planned for fall 2022, Newsweek reports

References

Accuracy 40

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What is the OPEC forecast for 2026?

Link Copy 2026-06-12 01:41:08

Prediction

In short, an increase in oil production

Reason

They are completely satisfied with the situation with the closure of the Ozmur Strait and the shortage of oil. The price ceiling has been set at $60 per barrel since the beginning of the year, but the closure of the strait increased the demand for oil to 100.

In short, an increase in oil production

The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC, but did not withdraw, as participation in OPEC is still more profitable than exiting it.

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When will a strong earthquake happen in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-11-21 14:23:03

Prediction

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

Reason

The frequency of earthquakes in Almaty is 100-130 years. The last devastating earthquake was in 1911. There is a spontaneous development of the city with a formal check for earthquake resistance. The entire central part of Almaty is literally located on tectonic faults, some of which may be seismogenerating. Also, a metro is being built in the central part of Almaty, which actually blocks the course of underground water

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

In 2026, 45% of buildings will not be earthquake-resistant. The number of non-earthquake-resistant buildings will increase by 1.5% every 2 years

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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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